4 Comments
User's avatar
Stuart H's avatar

Florida Atlantic was in the top 25 when South Florida beat them at home. That is a quad 1 win. Here is the wire Article " Abdur-Rahim’s team is now 1-0 against Quad-1 opponents, 3-3 versus Quad-2 foes, 5-0 against Q3 teams and 10-2 vs. Q4 opponents." From MajorWajor site. Stop moving the goal posts . Also, SMU was quad 2 as was Charlotte.....https://www.majorwager.com/ncaab/south-fla-holds-off-fau-for-11th-straight-win/

Expand full comment
Seth Davis's avatar

That was true at the time, but right now FAU is 37th in the NET, so therefore it is a Quad 2 win. This is not uncommon, and in fact how the NET is designed to work, e.g. only to be fully correct on Selection Sunday. I encourage you to check out bracketologists.com. Thanks for reading!

Expand full comment
Stuart H's avatar

I realize they calculate on selection Sunday based on the current NET, but IMO there is something wrong with a system that does not factor in new coach and time to adapt to the new system to it's metrics, and the Bulls can only beat who is in front of them. That is how the eyeball test and factoring this in makes it SO easy to win money both ATS and M/L betting against people who use Kenpom or other metrics to say USF will lose to teams like FAU and SMU, especially at home. This is especially true given the fact that they often have the best player on the floor with Youngblood and consider Pryor at 6-10 is a matchup problem for most teams and an elite passer who fires up that team and the crowd. I will give you credit, you at least mentioned them. Its why you are one of the best analysts out there...you are fair. A team like USF shows the flaw in the system the way it is set up. Now that Rahim has turned this team around the AD needs to schedule some strong OOC schedule teams going forward. Memphis was in the top 25 when they beat them at Memphis too at the time. BTW, Maryland has 2 quad 1, and 4 quad 2 wins. Where will they be in March? So record and placement still count for something. Thanks for replying...

Expand full comment
Shane Hart's avatar

It looks correct to me! I can’t argue with such sound reasoning. Nicely done, as always

Expand full comment